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UConn vs. Alabama odds, time, score prediction: 2024 NCAA Tournament Final Four best bets from proven model

UConn vs. Alabama odds, time, score prediction: 2024 NCAA Tournament Final Four best bets from proven model

The 2024 Final Four is slated to tip off Saturday night and the late game features the No. 1 seed UConn Huskies and the No. 4 seed Alabama Crimson Tide. These programs have only played against each other twice in school history, with UConn taking both games. Both sides were very good against the spread this season with UConn posting a 26-12 ATS record overall, while Alabama was 22-14 ATS. 

Tipoff from the State Farm Stadium in Arizona is set for 8:49 p.m. ET. The Huskies are 11.5-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. UConn odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 160.5. Before making any UConn vs. Alabama picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Div. I college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered the Sweet 16 round of the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 152-109 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,800 for $100 players. It also has a strong 32-21 (+890) record on top-rated spread picks this season, and its bracket picks rank in the 92nd percentile among all CBS Sports Bracket Challenge entries so far in 2024. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Connecticut vs. Alabama and just locked in its Final Four predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines and trends for Alabama vs. Connecticut:

  • UConn vs. Alabama spread: Huskies -11.5
  • UConn vs. Alabama over/under: 160.5 points
  • UConn vs. Alabama money line: Huskies -727, Crimson Tide +499
  • UCONN: 17-5 ATS this season in road or neutral games
  • BAMA: 22-14 ATS this season 
  • UConn vs. Alabama picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Alabama can cover

To win games this late in the year you need everyone to step up, and that’s been the case with Alabama. Senior forward Nick Pringle stands at 6-foot-10 and is a high-motor force. Pringle thrives on hustle plays, logging 7.0 points, 5.3 rebounds and he shoots 63% from the floor.

In his last outing, Pringle had 16 points and 11 rebounds. Senior forward Grant Nelson is another impactful presence down low. Nelson is long and is a solid rim protector. He can also score from all three levels. His best performance of the tournament came in the Sweet 16 against UNC, where Nelson had a double-double of 24 points, 12 boards and five blocks. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

Why UConn can cover

The Huskies have been dominant on both ends of the floor during the 2023-24 campaign. UConn ranked 22nd in the country in scoring offense (81.4) and ninth in scoring defense (63.3). The Huskies were also sixth in the field-goal percentage defense (38.9). The combination of effective offense and suffocating defense makes things hard on their opponents.

Senior guard Tristen Newton has been the engine for UConn. Newton is an agile ball handler who can score and create with ease. The Texas native led the team in both scoring (15) and assists (6.1). In the second-round win over Northwestern, Newton finished with 20 points, 10 assists and two steals. He’s dished out 8-plus assists in four of his last six games. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

How to make UConn vs. Alabama picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 162 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations. You can only see the picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Alabama vs. UConn, and which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 152-109 roll on its top-rated college basketball picks, and find out.




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