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NFL Week 10 Picks Against the Spread

by WDC News 6 Staff

The midpoint of this elongated common season is upon us, and the 2 conferences have charged forward alongside divergent paths.

Within the N.F.C., simply 5 groups — the Arizona Cardinals, Los Angeles Rams, Inexperienced Bay Packers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Dallas Cowboys — are professional Tremendous Bowl contenders. There’s extra parity within the A.F.C., the place the 7-2 Titans have the very best file, pacing 9 different groups with respectable odds of enjoying within the N.F.L.’s last sport of the season.

That logjam ought to begin to clear Sunday, when Las Vegas and Kansas Metropolis will attempt to acquire floor within the A.F.C. West, the place a mere half-game separates first place from final. The Cleveland Browns might be with out operating again Nick Chubb as they attempt to cease the streaking New England Patriots, who’re creeping up on the Payments’ half-game lead within the A.F.C. East.

Under is a take a look at N.F.L. Week 10, with all picks made towards the unfold.

All occasions are Jap.

Byes: Bears, Bengals, Texans, Giants

Final week’s file: 5-9

Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins, 8:20 p.m., Fox and NFL Community

Line: Ravens -7 | Whole: 47.5

This might be a show of polar opposites when it comes to efficiently drafting and nurturing a quarterback. The Ravens (6-2) will rely, as all the time on Lamar Jackson, the unquestioned franchise quarterback who has saved video games together with his throws and sprints. The Dolphins (2-7), in contrast, have but to determine whether or not the journeyman Jacoby Brissett will begin once more over Tua Tagovailoa, the injured 2020 draft choose who has been shopped all season.

If Tagovailoa’s fractured finger on his throwing hand retains him sidelined, and Brissett — who threw two interceptions towards Houston final week — has to face the Ravens’ protection on quick relaxation, this one might get out of hand rapidly. Particularly with Jackson enjoying again in his native South Florida. Decide: Ravens- 7

Kansas Metropolis at Las Vegas Raiders, 8:20 p.m., NBC

Line: Kansas Metropolis -2.5 | Whole: 52.5

Kansas Metropolis (5-4) and Las Vegas (5-3) are each attempting to maintain tempo within the A.F.C. West, the place the Raiders and Chargers are tied for the division lead. Kansas Metropolis has the larger urgency right here: A loss would drop its odds of reaching the postseason to 34 p.c, in accordance with The Times’ playoff predictor.

It additionally has a tougher highway to getting that win. Kansas Metropolis is 1-4 towards A.F.C. groups and its offense has been annoyed when defenses make use of two excessive safeties, goading Patrick Mahomes into 10 interceptions to this point. In opposition to Raiders defensive finish Maxx Crosby, who’s tied for second-most in quarterback hits (19), Kansas Metropolis ought to battle to maintain the rating shut. Decide Raiders +2.5

Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots, 1 p.m., CBS

Line: Patriots -1 | Whole: 45.5

The Patriots (5-4) are driving a three-game successful streak, sniffing on the A.F.C. East lead, and enjoying as persistently because it’s affordable to anticipate from a staff led by a rookie quarterback. Mac Jones has completed solely two video games with a completion share under 60 p.c and New England has been capable of lean on Damien Harris, who’s tied for third in speeding touchdowns (7) and ranks ninth in yards (547).

However Cleveland is aware of one thing about disruptions. The Browns (5-4) permit solely 84.8 speeding yards per sport, an element that might unbalance the Patriots’ offense. Myles Garrett’s strain might shorten the window for Jones’s throws downfield and Cleveland’s aggressive protection ought to carry the win, no matter whether or not Browns operating again Nick Chubb misses the sport after a constructive take a look at for coronavirus. Decide: Browns +1.

Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers, 4:05 p.m., Fox

Line: Chargers -2.5 | Whole: 51.5

Profitable a detailed sport towards the Eagles final week doesn’t conceal the truth that the Chargers (5-3) nonetheless want to repair the worst speeding protection within the league. The Vikings (3-5) ought to feed Dalvin Prepare dinner, the league’s eighth-leading rusher (554 yards), and depend on having the ability to preserve the rating shut till Los Angeles proves its opponents want so as to add one other dimension. Decide: Vikings +2.5

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys, 1 p.m., Fox

Line: Cowboys -9 | Whole: 52

Possibly the Atlanta Sports activities Curse is subsiding. Its Main League Baseball staff received the World Collection, the Georgia Bulldogs are undefeated and ranked No. 1 within the School Soccer Playoff, and the Falcons (4-4) are surging, winners of three of their final 4 video games.

The Cowboys (6-2), although, can throw salt in any respect that Sunday. Coming off an embarrassing loss to the Broncos final week, Dallas can have one thing to show. Dak Prescott ought to be higher with one other week to heal from his calf harm and if the opposite skill-position gamers bear in mind how you can catch a soccer, the Cowboys’ offense ought to succeed towards an Atlanta protection that has allowed greater than 30 factors in three video games this season. Decide: Cowboys -9

New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans, 1 p.m., CBS

Line: Titans -3 | Whole: 45

The Saints (5-3) are marching into Tennessee and bringing their inconsistencies with them. New Orleans has been the hardest staff to foretell all season, and after successful three straight video games, they misplaced to the inferior Falcons final week.

The Titans (7-2), in the meantime, have been regular, and continued their ascent final week, even with out the workhorse operating again Derrick Henry. Tennessee’s protection sacked Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford 5 occasions and so might rattle Saints backup Trevor Siemian. The Saints’ protection is powerful, however the Titans ought to be capable to take this one if they will rating proficiently with their play-action. Decide: Titans -3

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts, 1 p.m., CBS

Line: Colts -10.5 | Whole: 47.5

Flukes occur. That the Jaguars (2-6) beat the Payments in Week 9 doesn’t change that Jacksonville continues to be maybe one of many worst groups within the league. Repeating that four-sack efficiency towards the Colts (4-5) most likely received’t occur as a result of Indianapolis will run typically with Jonathan Taylor, who ranks second within the N.F.L. in speeding yards (821) and touchdowns (8). If the Colts lean on Taylor for offensive manufacturing and clock administration, they’ll void the potential for turnovers and miscues that allowed Jacksonville to upset Buffalo. Decide: Colts -10.5

Buffalo Payments at Jets, 1 p.m., CBS

Line: Payments -13 | Whole: 47.5

The Payments (5-3) might be hungry and motivated after their embarrassing loss to the Jaguars, and their protection, which ranks first in fewest passing yards allowed (1,416), ought to be capable to chomp on a Jets (2-6) staff that may begin an injured backup quarterback.

Jets Coach Robert Saleh stated Wednesday that Mike White will once more begin instead of Zach Wilson (knee). White has thrown for 5 touchdowns in seven quarters, however obtained a nerve contusion in his proper forearm towards the Colts final week. Buffalo ought to put up many of the factors anticipated on this one. Decide: Payments -13

Detroit Lions at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m., Fox

Line: Steelers -9.5 | Whole: 43.5

Don’t guess on the Lions (0-8) to lastly win their first sport this week. The Steelers have allowed the second-fewest yards within the N.F.L. (2,420) and T.J. Watt, who has posted the second-most sacks this season (11.5) ought to be in competition for the Defensive Participant of the 12 months Award. Detroit’s ethical victories of enjoying competitively towards good groups haven’t but translated to precise wins, and till the Lions present they will each make good calls and execute them late in video games, they’ll proceed to justify the unfold. Decide: Steelers -9.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Footballers, 1 p.m., Fox

Line: Buccaneers -10 | Whole: 51.5

A rematch of final season’s N.F.C. wild-card matchup that Tampa Bay received 31-23 shouldn’t be as shut this time round. The protection that carried the Footballers (2-6) to the playoffs within the 2020 season has allowed the sixth-most passing yards within the league. That advantages the Buccaneers (6-2) as Tom Brady ranks second in passing yards (2,650) and first in touchdowns (25), even with the enjoying statuses of receiver Antonio Brown (ankle) and tight finish Rob Gronkowski (again) nonetheless unclear. Decide: Buccaneers -10

Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals, 4:05 p.m., Fox

Line: Cardinals -10 | Whole: 44.5

The Sam Darnold experiment for the Panthers (4-5) is puttering out. Even earlier than he fractured his shoulder final week towards the Patriots, he was tied for first within the league in interceptions (11), and his three turnovers towards New England brought on Coach Matt Rhule to waffle on calling Darnold the starter transferring ahead.

Now, with Darnold out probably for 4 to 6 weeks, P.J. Walker’s audition will get prolonged towards the Cardinals (8-1), whose offense performed successfully even with out Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins final week. They’re nonetheless questionable to play and the staff misplaced operating again Chase Edmonds for a number of weeks with a excessive ankle sprain. Nonetheless, that simply means extra touches for James Conner, who’s tied for the N.F.L. lead in speeding touchdowns (10) and carried the offense towards San Francisco in Week 9. Even when Murray doesn’t play, predict the Cardinals to cowl with confidence. Decide: Cardinals -10

Philadelphia Eagles at Denver Broncos, 4:25 p.m., CBS

Line: Broncos -2.5 | Whole: 45

The Broncos (5-4) lastly received a sport towards a robust opponent when the rookie operating again Javonte Williams recorded the primary 100-yard sport of his profession final week towards the Cowboys. Denver can now pad its file with one other win earlier than attending to the guts of convention play. Williams might once more go off towards the Eagles (3-6), whose inside protection has allowed the seventh-most speeding yards (1,077) within the league. The Broncos ought to begin a win streak. Decide: Broncos -2.5

Seattle Seahawks at Inexperienced Bay Packers, 4:25 p.m., Fox

Line: Packers -4 | Whole: 49.5

Russell Wilson returns for the Seahawks (3-5) after recovering from finger surgical procedure whereas Aaron Rodgers’s standing continues to be unclear as he nonetheless must clear Covid-19 protocols after testing constructive for the coronavirus two weeks in the past. Assuming Rodgers performs, the Packers (7-2) ought to slice by way of Seattle’s protection, which has given up the ninth-most yards within the league (3,212). Even when his backup, Jordan Love, commandeers Inexperienced Bay’s offense, a wholesome dose of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon out of the backfield can be sufficient to cowl the unfold. Decide: Packers -4

Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers, 8:15 p.m., ESPN

Line: Rams -4 | Whole: 49.5

Los Angeles is clearly the higher staff, and San Francisco has been considerably of a disappointment with continued accidents, as was the case final season. The 49ers (3-5) ought to make some tweaks to generate higher matchups — tight finish George Kittle will probably be used largely as a blocker now that Von Miller is predicted to make his Rams debut, and receiver Deebo Samuel might go one-on-one towards Los Angeles cornerback Jalen Ramsey — but when the Rams (7-2) can proceed to play with urgency, Samuel and Kittle received’t be sufficient for San Francisco to prevail.

Decide: Rams -4

A fast primer for many who will not be conversant in betting traces: Favorites are listed subsequent to a destructive quantity that represents what number of factors they have to win by to cowl the unfold. Raiders -5.5, for instance, implies that Las Vegas should beat Chicago by not less than 6 factors for its backers to win their guess. Gamblers may also guess on the entire rating, or whether or not the groups’ mixed rating within the sport is over or underneath a preselected variety of factors.

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